The priority of economy: forecasting of needs whith personnel with higher vocational education is considered
Abstract
In this study the problem of finding the needs of priority modernization and technological development
(PMTD) of Russian economy with personnel with higher vocational education is considered. Prognostic
estimate of PMTD labour needs was counted based on the methodology of forecasting the needs of economy
in personnel with vocational education, which was developed by the Budget monitoring center at Petrozavodsk
state university. A thorough study of supply and demand on the labour market was carried for every PMTD
based on both the professional and qualification structure and volume of specialists training for each field of
PMTD and for Russia as a whole
(PMTD) of Russian economy with personnel with higher vocational education is considered. Prognostic
estimate of PMTD labour needs was counted based on the methodology of forecasting the needs of economy
in personnel with vocational education, which was developed by the Budget monitoring center at Petrozavodsk
state university. A thorough study of supply and demand on the labour market was carried for every PMTD
based on both the professional and qualification structure and volume of specialists training for each field of
PMTD and for Russia as a whole
About the Authors
V. A. Gourtov
Петрозаводский государственный университет
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
L. M. Serova
Петрозаводский государственный университет
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
I. S. Stepous
Петрозаводский государственный университет
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
References
1. Гуртов В. А., Серова Л. М., Степусь И. C. Прогнозирование потребности высокотехнологичных секторов экономики в кадрах с высшим профессиональным образованием // Аналитические обзоры по основным направлениям развития высшего образования. М. : ФИРО. 2010. № 8. С. 80.
2. Гуртов В. А., Питухин Е. А., Серова Л. М. Моделирование потребностей экономики в кадрах с профессиональным образованием // Проблемы прогнозирова- ния. 2007. № 6. С. 91-107.
3. ИТ-кадры 2010: Численность занятых в российской экономике 2009 г. и прогноз потребностей 2010- 2015 гг. / REAL-IT по заказу Ассоциации предприятий компьютерных и информационных технологий АП КИТ : аналит. исслед. 2010. 24 с.
4. Комиссия при Президенте по модернизации и технологическому развитию : портал. URL: http://www.irussia. ru/ (дата обращения: 01.03.2011 г.).
5. Рынок труда и рынок образовательных услуг в субъектах Российской Федерации / В. Н. Васильев, В. А. Гуртов, Е. А. Питухин и др. М. : Техносфера, 2007. 680 с.
Review
For citations:
Gourtov V.A., Serova L.M., Stepous I.S. The priority of economy: forecasting of needs whith personnel with higher vocational education is considered. University Management: Practice and Analysis. 2011;(4):43-51. (In Russ.)
Views:
366
Email this article 